Crypto Fear & Greed Index
The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reads 37 out of 100 (Fear) (up from 34 yesterday and 30 on October 31, down from 50 Neutral last week and 67–70 Greed in early October). Bitcoin trades near $78,063 ($1.58T market cap) as the market stabilizes from late October's Fed rate pause (3.75%–4.00%), the October 30 Binance security incident, and a $643M single-day Bitcoin ETF outflow.
Live Market Snapshot
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How the composite score is weighted across 6 market factorsWhy Is the Crypto Market in Fear Today?
November 2026 — Fed rate pause, Oct 30 ETF outflows & exchange security fallout1. Rapid Sentiment Drop From 70 (Greed) to 30–37 (Fear)
During October 2026, the Crypto Fear & Greed Index completed one of its fastest monthly resets of the year — falling from 70 (Greed) on October 4 to 30–36 (Fear) on October 30–31, before edging up to 37 (Fear) entering November 2026. Bitcoin currently trades around $78,063 after testing a 30-day low of $76,141 late last week.
2. U.S. Federal Reserve Holds Rates at 3.75%–4.00% With Hawkish Dissents
On October 29, 2026, the U.S. Federal Reserve kept benchmark interest rates unchanged at 3.75% to 4.00% in a 10–2 vote. Crucially, both dissenting FOMC members favored another rate hike, signaling that tighter financial conditions could persist. While Bitcoin initially bounced to $81,200–$81,500 after the announcement, sellers capped the rally at $81,500 resistance.
"Investors understand the critical distinction that the Bitcoin network itself was not compromised — this was a centralized exchange breach, and rapid on-chain freezes of ~$3 billion helped contain broader market panic."
— Sam Callahan, Director of Bitcoin Strategy & Research at OranjeBTC (Oct 31, 2026)3. The October 30 Binance Exploit & $643M Bitcoin ETF Outflow
Late on Thursday, October 30, news broke of a major $6.3 billion hot-wallet security breach at Binance (stemming from a compromised engineer's laptop). Although Binance committed to covering all user losses and industry partners — including Tether ($1.57B frozen), Circle ($800M+ frozen), and Ripple ($200M frozen) — swiftly froze ~$3 billion on-chain, the shock triggered leveraged liquidations and pushed Bitcoin down ~4% to $76,141.
Simultaneously, U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs — which had recorded four straight days of inflows from October 26 to October 29 ($110.3M, $176M, $137.3M, and $17.1M) — suffered a $643 million single-day net outflow on October 30, pulling cumulative net inflows down from their October 6 peak of $57.8B to $56.98 billion.
4. Key Levels to Watch in November 2026
Market analysts note that a lasting recovery requires Bitcoin to defend the $75,000–$76,141 support zone and reclaim the $80,000–$81,800 resistance band. Notably, the previous three times the Fear & Greed Index dropped this rapidly, true market bottoms formed at slightly deeper Extreme Fear readings — specifically 25 (Oct 18, 2025), 5 (Feb 6, 2026), and 13 (Jun 6, 2026) — suggesting traders should use staggered entries rather than high leverage.
Market & On-Chain Metrics (November 2026)
CoinGecko · CoinMarketCap · Chainalysis · SoSoValueWhere Are We in the Bitcoin Cycle?
Post-Halving & Post-ATH Consolidation — November 2026Trading Strategies by Fear & Greed Zone
Educational reference only — not financial advice| Zone | Score | Market Psychology | Common Strategy | Risk Profile |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Extreme Fear | 0–24 | Panic selling and capitulation (such as Feb 6, 2026 at score 5 and Jun 6, 2026 at score 13). Historically where durable multi-month bottoms form. | Deploy staged spot DCA accumulation across major support levels. Avoid leverage. | High short-term volatility; favorable long-term entry |
| Fear ◀ Current | 25–44 | Investors are cautious following macro headwinds (Fed hold at 3.75%–4%) and exchange security headlines. Selling pressure is elevated but stabilizing near $76K–$78K. | Use staggered, measured entries rather than chasing rebounds. Watch for Bitcoin to hold $75,000 support and reclaim $80,000–$81,800 before increasing exposure. | Moderate–High (wait for support confirmation) |
| Neutral | 45–54 | Balanced consolidation (seen Oct 26–29 at scores 48–51). Market awaits macro or ETF flow catalysts. | Maintain core spot positions and monitor daily ETF net flows and moving averages. | Moderate |
| Greed | 55–74 | Rising optimism and FOMO (seen Oct 4, 2026 at score 70). | Trail stop-losses upward and avoid chasing late-stage breakouts. | Rising entry risk |
| Extreme Greed | 75–100 | Euphoria and crowded leverage (seen Oct 2025 ATH at score 88). | Scale out partial profits into strength and reduce portfolio leverage. | Very High entry risk |
Notable Historical Sentiment Readings (2020–2026)
Key market milestones and subsequent outcomes| Date | Score | Zone | BTC Price | Key Catalyst / Event | Subsequent Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2020 | 8 | Extreme Fear | $4,800 | COVID-19 liquidity shock | BTC +88% in 90 days |
| Jun 2022 | 6 | Extreme Fear | $18,800 | Terra/LUNA collapse | Bottomed at $15.9K in Nov 2022 |
| Aug 5, 2024 | 31 | Fear | $54,000 | Yen carry-trade unwind flush | Rallied past $108K by Dec 2024 |
| Oct 6, 2025 | 88 | Extreme Greed | $126,080 | Cycle ATH ($4.27T total crypto MCap) | 50% multi-month correction |
| Feb 6, 2026 | 5 | Extreme Fear | $67,725 | 2026 post-ATH capitulation low | Rebounded above $84K by Q3 |
| Jun 6, 2026 | 13 | Extreme Fear | $71,200 | Summer macro & ETF outflow trough | 90-day recovery to $84K+ |
| Oct 4, 2026 | 70 | Greed | $84,500 | Early October "Uptober" optimism | Pulled back to $76,141 by Oct 30 |
| Nov 2026 (Live) | 37 | Fear | $78,063 | Post-FOMC hold & Oct 30 ETF outflows | Testing $76K–$81.5K range |
Frequently Asked Questions
Fact-checked with CoinGecko, CoinMarketCap & Alternative.me — November 2026The Crypto Fear & Greed Index reads 37 out of 100 (Fear) per Alternative.me (up from 34 yesterday and 30 on October 30–31), while CoinMarketCap reads 36 (Fear) and CoinGecko reads 42 (Fear). Bitcoin trades around $78,063 with a $1.58 trillion market cap (58.59% dominance), and the total cryptocurrency market cap stands at $2.70 trillion.
Three events drove the rapid drop from Greed (70) to Fear (30–37): (1) On October 29, the U.S. Federal Reserve held interest rates at 3.75%–4.00% with two hawkish dissenting votes favoring a rate hike, stalling Bitcoin at $81,500 resistance; (2) On October 30, a $6.3 billion security breach at Binance rattled sentiment and pushed BTC to a 30-day low of $76,141 (though ~$3 billion was rapidly frozen on-chain and Binance pledged full user reimbursement); and (3) U.S. Spot Bitcoin ETFs saw a $643 million single-day outflow on October 30.
According to CoinGecko and CoinMarketCap: Bitcoin (BTC) is at $78,063, Ethereum (ETH) is at $2,282, Solana (SOL) is at $94.28, XRP is at $1.25, and BNB trades near $709.70. Stablecoins account for $299 billion (11.1% of the $2.70T total market cap).
While Warren Buffett's contrarian rule favors buying during Fear, historical data from the last three sharp sentiment drops in 2025–2026 shows that durable bottoms formed slightly lower in Extreme Fear — at scores of 25 (Oct 2025), 5 (Feb 2026), and 13 (Jun 2026). Analysts recommend using staggered DCA entries and watching for Bitcoin to hold above $75,000 and reclaim $80,000–$81,800 before taking aggressive positions.
The index combines six weighted factors into a 0–100 score: Volatility (25%), Market Momentum & Volume (25%), Social Media Sentiment (15%), Surveys (15%), Bitcoin Dominance (10%), and Google Trends (10%).
About the Index & Methodology
How crypto market sentiment is measured and weightedThe Crypto Fear & Greed Index quantifies emotional extremes in the cryptocurrency market on a scale from 0 (Extreme Fear) to 100 (Extreme Greed).
This tracker automatically connects to Alternative.me's live 31-day FNG API, CoinGecko's live price & global market cap APIs, and Binance's 24h ticker API in your browser so the gauge, 8-day sparkline chart, component sub-scores, and prices stay synchronized in real time without manual page edits.